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人民币汇比值变募化对我国畅通货收收缩的影响

时间:2019-07-10 08:47来源:原创 作者:locoy 点击:
华 中 科 技 父亲 学 落 士 学 位 论 文 收收缩需寻求运用钱币政策顺手眼;第二,短期内,应当僵持人民币币值的根本摆荡;第 叁,对暖和钱应当确立相应的预缓急备范对策;第四,完

  华 中 科 技 父亲 学 落 士 学 位 论 文

  收收缩需寻求运用钱币政策顺手眼;第二,短期内,应当僵持人民币币值的根本摆荡;第

  叁,对暖和钱应当确立相应的预缓急备范对策;第四,完备人民币汇比值结合机制;第五,

  确立宗真在的拥有办的浮触动汇比值制度。

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  关关键键词词::人民币汇比值;畅通货收收缩;出口产品标价;暖和钱

  II

  华 中 科 技 父亲 学 落 士 学 位 论 文

  Abstract

  Abstract

  AAbbssttrraacctt

  In an open economy, exchange rate change has important effects on inflation in one

  country. This dissertation refers to the structure of the framework of theory model and

  VAR model. After the unit root test, co integration test ,Granger causality test, impulse

  response function and variance decomposition, carries on the comprehensive analysis on

  the influence of RMB exchange rate to inflation in China respectively from imports goods

  price channel and hot money channel.

  The results of the imports goods channels analysis about the influence of RMB

  exchange rate to inflation in China show that: RMB nominal effective exchange rate is

  negatively related to imports price and consumer price, imports good price is positively

  related to consumer price; The effect of RMB nominal effective exchange rate

  pass-through on domestic price is not completely and has certain delay. The transfer rate

  of RMB nominal effective exchange rate pass-through on imports good price is more than

  on consumer price.Therefore, there is certain effect of the appreciation of RMB to current

  inflation in China, but the effect is limited.

  The results of the hot money channels analysis about the influence of RMB exchange

  rate to inflation in China show that: the effect of RMB nominal effective exchange rate to

  hot money and money supply is positive, that is the appreciation of RMB will attract hot

  money inflowing; The effect

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